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2020 In-Focus: Republicans pull ahead in the Midwest in October/November

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Welcome back to our monthly 2020 US Presidential Election tracker. We have partnered with RIWI to bring monthly updates on which party diverse Americans think will win in their state, which candidate they personally prefer, and any interesting insight from our data. 

RIWI accurately predicted the results of the 2016 Presidential Election. We are using the same method to predict the results of the 2020 Presidential Election.

Regardless of whom you support, which party do you think will win your state in the 2020 Presidential election?

Democratic Party25%
Republican Party24%
Don’t know51%

*Source: RIWI data, US tracking, 1-30, 2019, 5,453 respondents. Data gathered anonymously; unpaid respondents.

  • This month we continue to see that a large share of respondents don’t know which party will win in their state. This ‘disengagement’ is under-reported in the US media.
  • Since our last update, Senator Sanders has pulled ahead of Senator Warren but narrowly loses in a head-to-head match-up against President Trump.

pull ahead in the Midwest in October/

You can read an analysis of these data on our polling partner’s website here


About RIWI

RIWI is a global trend-tracking and prediction company that is a leader in data quality, privacy,               and security (see ​here for more information). RIWI technology is used extensively and under              long-term agreements by BofA Securities, the U.S. State Department and by other G7 government agencies, the World Bank, UN agencies, and academics at top Universities such as Harvard and Oxford. RIWI has won many awards for its global trend-tracking and predictive analytics technology, including, most recently, the “Rising Star” award for data that yields an investment edge at the 2019 Battle of the Quants in New York City.

RIWI Corp. (https://riwi.com) powered the above data for GodGoBless.com Inc., a technology company based in Barbados.

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